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Spatial2 Conference: Spatial Data Methods for Environmental and Ecological Processes. Foggia (IT), 1-2 September 2011 >
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Title:
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Ensemble forecasting: status and perspectives
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Permalink:
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http://hdl.handle.net/10446/25228
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Full text:
| File name |
Description |
Size | Format | Accessibility |
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| 1.pdf | publisher's version - versione dell'editore | 37.71 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open
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| Suggested citation: | Nerozzi, F., Diomede, T., Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Paccagnella, T., (2011). Ensemble forecasting: status and perspectives. In Cafarelli, Barbara (Eds.), Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10446/25228 |
| Author⁄s: | NEROZZI, F.
DIOMEDE, T.
MARSIGLI, C.
MONTANI, A.
PACCAGNELLA, T. |
| contacts: | fnerozzi@arpa.emr.it |
| Type of content: | conference presentation - intervento a convegno |
| Language: | eng |
| Conference/Workshop: | Spatial2 Conference: Spatial Data Methods for Environmental and Ecological Processes, Foggia (IT), 1-2 September 2011 |
| Conference n.: | 2 |
| Conference place: | Foggia |
| Conference date: | 1-2 September 2011 |
| Is part of: | Spatial2: Spatial Data Methods for Environmental and Ecological processes. Proceedings. |
| Date issued: | 2011 |
| Country: | IT |
| Keywords: | Ensemble Prediction Systems; Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts; Calibration techniques |
| Abstract: | One of the main challenges for Numerical Weather Prediction is the Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (QPF). The accurate forecast of high-impact weather still remains difficult beyond day 2 and many limited-area ensemble prediction systems have been recently developed so as to provide more reliable forecasts than achievable with a single deterministic forecast. As a consequence the calibration of ensemble precipitation forecasts has become a very demanding task, for improving the QPF, especially as an input to hydrological models. Different calibration techniques are compared: cumulative distribution function, linear regression
and analogues method. |
| In: | Spatial2 Conference: Spatial Data Methods for Environmental and Ecological Processes. Foggia (IT), 1-2 September 2011
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