Empirical Bayes is a popular procedure to fix hyperparameters in Bayesian models, with estimation often performed via maximization of the marginal likelihood. In the case of Bayesian probit models with independent homoscedastic Gaussian prior distribution, one might be interested in the estimation of the prior variance of the parameters. We develop an expectation-maximization algorithm to obtain maximum marginal likelihood estimates of this quantity, where the expectation step leverages recent implementations of the expectation propagation algorithm for Bayesian probit models. Importantly, the penalty in the Ridge probit models is a 1-to-1 function of such a variance. The performance is validated over synthetic data generated with different values of the hyperparameter of interest.

(2025). Empirical Bayes for the Ridge Penalty in Probit Models . Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10446/305491

Empirical Bayes for the Ridge Penalty in Probit Models

Rimella, Lorenzo
2025-01-01

Abstract

Empirical Bayes is a popular procedure to fix hyperparameters in Bayesian models, with estimation often performed via maximization of the marginal likelihood. In the case of Bayesian probit models with independent homoscedastic Gaussian prior distribution, one might be interested in the estimation of the prior variance of the parameters. We develop an expectation-maximization algorithm to obtain maximum marginal likelihood estimates of this quantity, where the expectation step leverages recent implementations of the expectation propagation algorithm for Bayesian probit models. Importantly, the penalty in the Ridge probit models is a 1-to-1 function of such a variance. The performance is validated over synthetic data generated with different values of the hyperparameter of interest.
lorenzo.rimella@unibg.it
2025
Inglese
Statistics for Innovation III. SIS 2025. Short Papers, Contributed Sessions 2. Italian Statistical Society Series on Advances in Statistics
Di Bella, Enrico; Gioia, Vincenzo; Lagazio, Corrado; Zaccarin, Susanna;
9783031959943
200
205
cartaceo
online
Switzerland
Cham
Springer
SIS 2025: Conference on Statistics for Innovation, Genoa, Italy, 16-18 June 2025
Genoa, Italy
16-18 June 2025
nazionale
contributo
Settore STAT-01/A - Statistica
Empirical Bayes; Probit regression; Ridge penalization; Expectation maximization
eISBN 978-3-031-95995-0 eISSN 3059-2143
info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
3
Fasano, Augusto; Rebaudo, Giovanni; Rimella, Lorenzo
1.4 Contributi in atti di convegno - Contributions in conference proceedings::1.4.01 Contributi in atti di convegno - Conference presentations
reserved
Non definito
273
(2025). Empirical Bayes for the Ridge Penalty in Probit Models . Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10446/305491
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10446/305491
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